Streaming arrival prediction · Indonesia flag Indonesia

When will Supergirl be streaming in Indonesia?

Our prediction
Around October 31, 2026
Confidence band: August 31, 2026 – December 31, 2026

Based on how long similar films take from theatrical release to digital streaming in Indonesia. We update this prediction weekly. The day Supergirl actually drops we'll notify you (if you set the alert below).

≈ 62 days from today

Prediction first published July 20, 2026 · last updated August 23, 2026 · refreshed weekly

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How we predicted this

Our honest method.

We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across our 15 prediction markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a Indonesia-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for Indonesia.

For Supergirl in Indonesia flag Indonesia, the anchor is the theatrical release on June 24, 2026. Applying our blended model:

Method: country-median delta 129d, n=35, σ=61d
Sample size used: 35 comparable films in Indonesia
Confidence: MEDIUM

Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.

We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.

Track record in Indonesia so far: 61% of our 28 confirmed arrivals landed inside the window we published. Every confirmation, hit or miss, stays on the record.

Prediction history

Every call we made, on the record.

This log is append-only. When a weekly refresh moves the window or the confidence, we record it here instead of silently rewriting the page.

  1. August 2, 2026RevisedWindow August 29, 2026 to January 2, 2027 · medium confidence
  2. July 26, 2026RevisedWindow August 7, 2026 to December 13, 2026 · medium confidence
  3. July 20, 2026First predictionWindow June 24, 2026 to October 21, 2026 · medium confidence