Streaming arrival prediction · Thailand flag Thailand

When will Pinocchio: Unstrung be streaming in Thailand?

Our prediction
Around November 28, 2026
Confidence band: September 25, 2026 – January 31, 2027

Based on how long similar films take from theatrical release to digital streaming in Thailand. We update this prediction weekly. The day Pinocchio: Unstrung actually drops we'll notify you (if you set the alert below).

≈ 91 days from today

Prediction first published August 23, 2026 · refreshed weekly

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How we predicted this

Our honest method.

We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across our 15 prediction markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a Thailand-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for Thailand.

For Pinocchio: Unstrung in Thailand flag Thailand, the anchor is the theatrical release on July 23, 2026. Applying our blended model:

Method: country-median delta 128d, n=23, σ=64d
Sample size used: 23 comparable films in Thailand
Confidence: MEDIUM

Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.

We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.

Track record in Thailand so far: 40% of our 20 confirmed arrivals landed inside the window we published. Every confirmation, hit or miss, stays on the record.

Prediction history

Every call we made, on the record.

This log is append-only. When a weekly refresh moves the window or the confidence, we record it here instead of silently rewriting the page.

  1. August 23, 2026First predictionWindow September 25, 2026 to January 31, 2027 · medium confidence