OTTASIA
Streaming arrival prediction · 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
When will Sinners be streaming in Saudi Arabia?
Our prediction
Around July 2025
Confidence band: June 9, 2025 – September 19, 2025
Based on how long similar films take from theatrical release to digital streaming in Saudi Arabia. We update this prediction weekly. The day Sinners actually drops we'll notify you (if you set the alert below).
The predicted window has already opened. If it's not on streaming yet, it's running late vs typical patterns.
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How we predicted this
Our honest method.
We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across 11 Asian markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a Saudi Arabia-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for Saudi Arabia.
For Sinners in 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia, the anchor is the theatrical release on April 17, 2025. Applying our blended model:
Method: regional-only median 104d, n=46, σ=51d (no SA samples in pool yet)
Sample size used: 46 regional Asian films
Confidence: LOW
Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.
We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.
While you wait
