When will Project Hail Mary be streaming in Japan?

We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across 11 Asian markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a Japan-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for Japan.

For Project Hail Mary in 🇯🇵 Japan, the anchor is the theatrical release on March 20, 2026. Applying our blended model:

Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.

We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.