When will Project Hail Mary be streaming in South Korea?

We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across our 15 prediction markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a South Korea-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for South Korea.

For Project Hail Mary in South Korea, the anchor is the theatrical release on March 18, 2026. Applying our blended model:

Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.

We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.

Track record in South Korea so far: 36% of our 11 confirmed arrivals landed inside the window we published. Every confirmation, hit or miss, stays on the record.