OTTASIA
Streaming arrival prediction · 🇮🇩 Indonesia
When will Avatar: Fire and Ash be streaming in Indonesia?
Our prediction
Around April 6, 2026
Confidence band: February 14, 2026 – May 27, 2026
Based on how long similar films take from theatrical release to digital streaming in Indonesia. We update this prediction weekly. The day Avatar: Fire and Ash actually drops we'll notify you (if you set the alert below).
The predicted window has already opened. If it's not on streaming yet, it's running late vs typical patterns.
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How we predicted this
Our honest method.
We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across 11 Asian markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a Indonesia-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for Indonesia.
For Avatar: Fire and Ash in 🇮🇩 Indonesia, the anchor is the theatrical release on December 17, 2025. Applying our blended model:
Method: blended median 110d (country n=5, regional n=46), σ=51d
Sample size used: 5 films (country + regional pool)
Confidence: MEDIUM
Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.
We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.
