Streaming arrival prediction · South Korea flag South Korea

When will Greenland 2: Migration be streaming in South Korea?

Our prediction
Around September 15, 2026
Confidence band: July 13, 2026 – November 18, 2026

Based on how long similar films take from theatrical release to digital streaming in South Korea. We update this prediction weekly. The day Greenland 2: Migration actually drops we'll notify you (if you set the alert below).

≈ 16 days from today

Prediction first published July 19, 2026 · last updated August 23, 2026 · refreshed weekly

Want the heads-up?

Get notified the day Greenland 2: Migration actually drops.

Drop your email and we'll send you one message the moment this title becomes streamable in South Korea flag South Korea. No spam, no list. Unsubscribe in one click.

How we predicted this

Our honest method.

We look at every film released theatrically in the last 48 months across our 15 prediction markets that has SINCE made it to streaming. We compute how many days it took to go from theatrical to streaming for each one. That historical distribution gives us two reference deltas: a South Korea-specific median (when we have enough local data) and an Asia-regional median (the much larger cross-country pool). We blend the two based on how many local samples we have for South Korea.

For Greenland 2: Migration in South Korea flag South Korea, the anchor is the theatrical release on July 1, 2026. Applying our blended model:

Method: country-median delta 76d, n=25, σ=64d
Sample size used: 25 comparable films in South Korea
Confidence: MEDIUM

Confidence improves week over week as our cross-country training pool grows. Each weekly cron run adds more observed (theatrical → digital) deltas to our model.

We don't predict the SPECIFIC streaming service in v1 (Netflix vs Prime vs JioHotstar) because that requires studio-level data we don't yet have reliably. When the title actually arrives, we update this page with the real provider and your alert email goes out automatically.

Track record in South Korea so far: 36% of our 11 confirmed arrivals landed inside the window we published. Every confirmation, hit or miss, stays on the record.

Prediction history

Every call we made, on the record.

This log is append-only. When a weekly refresh moves the window or the confidence, we record it here instead of silently rewriting the page.

  1. August 16, 2026RevisedWindow July 13, 2026 to November 18, 2026 · medium confidence
  2. August 2, 2026RevisedWindow July 17, 2026 to November 16, 2026 · medium confidence
  3. July 26, 2026RevisedWindow August 13, 2026 to December 15, 2026 · medium confidence
  4. July 19, 2026First predictionWindow July 11, 2026 to November 22, 2026 · medium confidence